The bond market just flashed a warning sign that has correctly predicted almost every recession over the past 60 years: an inversion of the US Treasury note yield curve. An inverted yield curve is ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 09: Yield curve inversion markets to markets and could happen in 2022 on the bond market's current trajectory (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) One of the best ...

Recession talk is back, and the smartest response is to watch the data and quietly fortify your finances before headlines ...

You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...

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An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...

Humans have been fortune-telling for at least six thousand years — there’s tarot cards, palm reading and the bond market. A 10-year bond theoretically locks up your money for 10 years in exchange for ...

The yield curve inverted this week when yields on 2-year notes rose above the ones on 10-year notes. Yield curve inversion has been a strong predictor recession is coming, Fed research shows. Every ...

The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money ...